thirdwave

Github Mirror

Week 13

Goldtards, libertards are eagerly waiting for a dollar collapse - "will it be our time..? is it this time.. is it?" Bitcointards are right next to them, hoping to get some spoils.

"@teatotalitarian

The damage without intervention is incalcuable. You can't sell to people with no $ or jobs. The economy was struggling post fires. You cant stimulate an economy by saddling all with more private debt. Be like NZ 80% subsidies and rent mortgage/freezes. NZ will emerge unscathed"

Former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke: “Nothing is going to work, the Fed is not going help, fiscal policy is not going to help, if we don’t get the public health right — if we don’t solve the problem of the virus."

Holy shit. Boris Johnson tested positive for COV. Hope he gets well soon.

Maybe there is no need for most optimization, an interpolation does huge amt of work already, there is a constant push-and-pull to explain all the data, the global minimum can be a simple side product to that.

Bcz I wanted to mimic work hours today feels like Friday - but at home 😐

You can retaliate, kick Jean Claude Van Damme out of the country.

Heee hehe - they just called u a waffle

"@michaelbirnbaum

Here's how Belgian media is describing the U.S.: 'In a country where most workers receive meager unemployment benefits, where pensions depend partly on the markets and where the savings rate is very low, ...the spread of the virus risks pushing millions into poverty.'"

"@ConnorSouthard

Landlords mad about capitalism happening to them has to be the funniest storyline in all of this"

"@ianbremmer

More than a third of the world’s population is currently on some form of coronavirus lockdown"

The correct graph, SP500 1929/2020 overlay. If match is correct, another fall is coming.

import pandas as pd, datetime
import pandas_datareader.data as web

today = datetime.datetime.now()
start=datetime.datetime(1920, 1, 1)
end=datetime.datetime(today.year, today.month, today.day)
df = web.DataReader("^GSPC", 'yahoo', start, end)[['Adj Close']]

df2 = pd.DataFrame(df[df.index > '1929-09-30'].head(200))
df2 = df2.reset_index()
arr = np.array(df[df.index > '2020-02-15'].head(200))
df2.ix[np.arange(len(arr)),'dep2'] = arr
print (len(df2))

df2 = df2.set_index('Date')
df2.columns = ['Depression 1','Depression 2']
ax1 = df2['Depression 1'].plot(color='blue', grid=True)
ax2 = df2['Depression 2'].plot(color='red', grid=True, secondary_y=True)
h1, l1 = ax1.get_legend_handles_labels()
ax1.set_ylim(16,32)
h2, l2 = ax2.get_legend_handles_labels()
ax2.set_ylim(1700,3400)
plt.savefig('depress.png')

Really? Youtube restricts ppl from using the word coronavirus, covid etc? That's a bit draconian..

Watching ST TNG "Borg episode". Lesson to remember - if the going gets tough, seperate the saucer section.

Ah of course u can top up phone internet quota through simple bank app. One less unnecessary interaction.

🔥🔥🔥

Initial unemp claims. Over 3 million!

Dude that line upwards has no paralel. Effin freaky shit!

2020-03-21 3,283,000

Link

Desync ASAP. Otherwise soc is bunch of ppl standing around with fingers up eachother's ass forming a circle fine for kumbaya not for anything else

"@djpardis

Still not sure if synchronized comms is where the future of work is at"

"@waltshaub

I did not predict 2020 being the year that human sacrifice made a comeback. I mean, having lived through the past 3 years nothing is surprising anymore, but it's quite a thing to behold when you see them calling for it"

"@spectatorindex

UNITED KINGDOM: 21 year old woman with no pre-existing medical conditions has died of coronavirus"

Slowdown happens bcz of misallocation of credit (money). That misalloc is due to ppl moving, improving in increments, follow the elevation to go up but find self on top of a smaller hill, the bigger one is elsewhere. Epitome of local optimum in optimization. What to do? Well gotta climb down first and move over to the other mountain.

@RheaButcher

2004: don’t eat French fries or else you hate America

2008: wear a lapel pin or you don’t love your country

2016: kneel before the flag

2020: die for the economy

Hammersley points are the shite biaaatch!! I just saw the freakiest function being recreated from 20 Hammersley points. Twenty!

There is random and there is random, nam sayin?

As demand goes, so does oil.. With growth exp low the demand for oil would be less

Link

"Oil price may fall to $10 a barrel as world runs out of storage space" -- theguardian.com

"But I know a company which can grow as much". Sure, that is possible. Others might think the same about other companies and buy their shares, expecting that kind of growth. My point is all of these people cannot be right at the same time. Hence, winners and losers.

Or at least there has to be.. If gov steps in and saves all the losers then there is no market. Enter socialism.

It'd take 20 years to go to 150% with 2% growth.

np.prod(np.ones(20)*1.02)

Out[1]: 1.485947395978355

Haha.. of course there is a Python package called tulipy. And it's a "Financial Technical Analysis Indicator Library"!! 😂😂😂

Link

In what future does the GDP increase to 150%? Every year it increases 2-3% if that. That "future" you speak of is too rosy, or "tulipy".

"So what if market cap / GDP was >150% Markets are about the future!"

"@wayne_vt

I know it’s time to short when all my friends who 'invest' start telling me it’s time to go long on this 'HISTORIC BUYING OPPORTUNITY'".

It's a vacation of sorts - all regular activities being frozen. From that angle, and for those who will make it, not bad.

I do the calculations but even I cant believe what I am seeing. I publish almost mechanically, and look at it myself and go WTF?

Politics was supposed to balance that but in many places politicians sold their souls to corporatism (another definition of fascism BTW).

"@EternalDago

Capitalism relies 100% on constant, limitless growth. It can’t even survive a 2 week slow down to adapt to the needs of human lives. Imagine thinking this could last forever"

@IamKarenBoBaran

Capitalism 1970: " work hard, you too can be rich "

Capitalism 1990: " work hard & a few crumbs will fall down "

Capitalism 2020: " you should be willing to die in order to save the economy for the top percent "

Are you guys still all in for this?

"@notstevenwhite

I just talked to my grandparents and I didn't actually get the sense they want to die to save capitalism"

"@CaelainnH

Ireland has just effectively nationalised its health service in response to the pandemic. Private hospitals are being taken over. Everyone is now promised equal access to treatment, regardless of insurance. A massive change"

Trump net approval at -6%. It hasnt seen these levels for nearly three years #538

"@JoSamps92

The Netherlands has unveiled a Multi-year Programmatic Approach for Hydrogen (MPAH) which aims to accelerate implementation of #hydrogen technologies and ensure they are “substantially embedded” by 2030"

"@tixhonjm

Cummins Increases Investment in Loop Energy and Fuel Cells for Commercial Transport Application"

Link

"@BrentBeshore

Business owner friend applied for disaster relief funds yesterday and called me panicked. To get through the maze you had no choice but to lie.

Kicker? Financials must be submitted by fax, mail or email. Email max size could be 5 MB. His last year's financials alone were 18 MB"

"@girlsreallyrule

You should be willing to die at your shitty job so that rich people's grandkids have minimal interruptions in their lifestyles-it's the right thing to do. #GOPDeathPanels"

Russia is in the game, competing. Awesome.

EU will probably want to diversify since now sunshine can also produce the "green fuel". Merkel was in Africa some time back... It's good for Africa to have more $$ of course, from the EU standpoint, the next door neighbor.

That fine moment when u realize you need another, darker color for covid cases bcz new cases might surpass the last bucket size on the map.

"@alexip

If schools are closed for a very long time, parents will find the vaccine sooner than scientists"

"@GeorgeGammon

Some say reaction to CV is worse than CV (Bc Econ damage)

I get it, but remember, CV didn’t force:

  1. Mkt cap/gdp 150%+

  2. Corp debt all time high

  3. Consumer debt all time high

  4. Dependency on ZIRP/QE

  5. No savings

  6. Econ built on debt+asset bubbles

CV is just a pin"

@lee_gsc

Warren's "excuse me????" moment here is so important. We can't afford to let Republicans gaslight the American people.

Link

When used as last recourse, under med supervision it works. Dont eat the shit like it is candy 🤨🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️

"@JohnDPMorgan

Lot of people seem determined to debunk hydroxychloroquine based on Trump’s comments. This is a cognitive fallacy: “Bad person says X therefore X is wrong”. Don’t fall for it. Meanwhile hospitals are incorporating HCQ into their protocols as fast as they can write them"

We all wish all this badness would go away with a great speech. That ship has sailed... Substantial changes, pronto. Otherwise we are screwed.

Junk at 12.39%

Haha.. Roub is a funny guy.. He is a guinea, but he is okay.

"@nouriel

Crisis [will be] not a V, U, L, W: a free fall down I !"

"@dandrezner

2010: Conservatives freak out over 'death panels.'

2020: Conservatives endorse reality version of 'Logan’s Run.'"

Link

"@zunguzungu

When you have so many people arguing that an unknown number of dead bodies are a necessary price to pay to ensure the health of the economy they fetishize, calling those people a 'death cult' isn't hyperbole or exaggeration, it's literally the most adequate term to describe them"

An Asterix image.. Looks like the Heil Hitler salute doesn't it?

That's what they were.. the original Nazis. Rome 1,2 and 3. And the Han. The ghosts of these cultures still haunts us all.

Albert Uderzo RIP. I am a huge fan of Asterix. He portrayed the Romans very well.

Actually not even project, calculate dispersion on x,y for all z above level set..

It can't be this simple.

🤔 Black box func is a problem.

Then.. sample, in 3d project onto z-plane, calc dispersion, lower/higher z according to lower/higher dispersion 🤔🤔 ?

"@_pem_pem

it is truly amazing that capitalism is so weak that a few weeks of sustained absence of labor is enough to make it entirely collapse. [T]he rich are powerful in a way, but in another way, we now know exactly how easy it is to ruin all of their lives permanently"

"@DavidSegalRI

The let-them-die push comes after just one week of hanging out at home. If we did this for another 6 or 7 weeks and then went back to work as normal, the average American would still finish the year having worked around as many hours as Germans work in an typical year"

Why is global opt done in such haphazard fashion? Think 3d, I can have z plane cut f at any level and I bet I could calc the area of level set enclosed points. Move the plane up-down to find place where area is near zero which will be at global minimum?

"@MSDNCNews

#BREAKING:

America’s billionaires pledge to donate a combined $32 billion to their offshore bank accounts amid coronavirus pandemic"

2000.. Are we there yet?

Stawks!! Stawks!!

Triage is a bitch.

Sad.

"BREAKING: Drs in Spain in anger & tears are forced to remove respirators from people 65 hrs & up to give to younger people."

Link

Simulated annealing looks interesting (global opt method), tho lacking in some theoretical results (convergence).

"@AlbertMendonca

Greed reigns supreme in the US. The essence of capitalism. Even during a crisis their @gop goal is to steal the jewelry off a dead man.

Maybe the Wall of China wasn't about keeping the barbarians out, it was about keeping these fuckers in. I am nearing pest level annoyance here.

"@BonnieGlaser

China is desperate to deflect blame for the virus. Now Beijing is blaming Italy. Why not just leave the determination of origin to scientists?"

"@Sabrina_McDa

All the major cruise lines are asking for bailouts from the U.S. Government.

Yet, Disney Cruises sails under the Bahamian flag ... Celebrity Cruises under Liberian/Maltese flags & Carnival Cruises under the Panamanian flag - all to avoid U.S. taxes & employment law

Just sayin'"

"@anniebellet

My husband lost a friend today to Covid-19. Crossfitter, younger than us.

If you think you are young, you are healthy, you work out etc and you'll be fine... think again"

"Almost every function can be expressed as the difference of two convex functions (dc functions)" -- Reiner Horst

Toyota and Hino to Jointly Develop Heavy-Duty Fuel Cell Truck

Link

Nothing breaks my work routine. I am essentially back to what I've been doing, albeit in a little different setting.

It's weird, Reps didn't have to end up being such corporate sluts. Appelbaum on why that could have happened.

Link

"@BCAppelbaum

Free advice for the Senate: Table the big business bailout for now. Boeing can wait. Pass what's most urgent: a small business bailout/ expansion of unemployment benefits/funding for healthcare.

(This advice is also free, and perhaps more useful, for the House.)"

Cat's jump was awesome

Link

"@Fxhedgers

SCHUMER SAYS BILL PRESENTED BY REPUBLICAN SENATE LEADERSHIP HAD 'MANY, MANY PROBLEMS,' IS A 'LARGE CORPORATE BAILOUT'"

Current econ requires perfect sync. Do X constantly everyday so Y, Z happens. Corona puts a wrench into that. Then a solution could be to freeze all those dependencies in place. Have to go to work to pay rent and credit cards? But oops, no work, then gov delays rent and cc pay. Frozen in place. The market is needed for a different place, different card, but that's for later. Post corona.

That doesnt seem to be US' style though.. In US, it's mo money for mo problems, if not enough, even mo money, with bazookas, helicopters.

"@IsaacDovere

[Rand] Paul delayed a vote for several days by forcing an amendment on the Corona virus response, and then voted against the final bill. That bill includes a provision making testing free.

So he got a test that he voted against everyone else being able to get"

"@NorthmanTrader

Life imitates art.

This dialogue from 1995's Outbreak with Morgan Freeman and Dustin Hoffman"

Link

Media play and policy are two different things. This punk should not be part of policy. He helped current gov to sell the thing that shall not be named, [cough! Brexit]!, sorry the cough was supposed to cover the next word there, but anyway, other than that, the spinner can cause serious damage.

[story about Cummins fuckup]

Link

"@TruthGundlach

Goldman Sachs: 'State-level anecdotes point to an unprecedented surge in layoffs this week. These anecdotes suggest that the next jobless claims report....will show that initial claims rose to roughly 2.25 million.' That’d be up 10x"

"@Nouriel

Roubini warns on 'severe' coronavirus recession, says everyone needs $1K payment"

Good

"Coronavirus stops communal Muslim prayers"

Decentralization 👍

"@barriecassidy

Has anybody yet picked up on the fact that the [Australian] premiers are now leading the country? And just as well"

Which Asimov character would I like to be? Demerzel was awesome, and he was Daneel. But Councilman Trevize might is more similar, and he had that cool spaceship.

Roubini: "[Parapr, abt FED commercial paper facility] If you are A, AA, AAA you have access to that facility. BBB- dont have access. If u r among those firms who issued 8 trillion $ of junk bond, not investment grade, u have no access. Small biz do not have access to the bond market.. 95% companies do not have access"

Link

"A lot of truth .. by @SheilaBair2013, @Michael_S_Barr & @JonahCrane. Time to finally recognize that money market funds are an arbitrage scheme to create the functional equivalent of bank deposits with lighter regulation?"

Link

"@markmobility

BREAKING: U.S. hospitals are warning that they are so strapped for cash that without some financial relief, they will be unable to meet their payrolls in a matter of weeks and some could be forced to close just as coronavirus cases are surging"

"@DanPriceSeattle

I'm CEO of a small company that processes payments for other small biz. Our data shows 50% of small biz revenue is gone already.

Meanwhile Walmart stock is at record high & Amazon is hiring 100k people.

No joke: We're on a path toward small business extinction - swallowed whole"

"@kyletorpey

Being able to buy my medication over the counter in South America has been amazing. The past few times I've gone to get it in the US my pharmacy, insurance company, and doctor have had to all call each other and turn their nuclear keys at the same time in order for me to get it"

Life.. all about escaping nonconvexity into convexity, avoiding intractability. Making a P out of an NP.

"Europe’s Plagues Came From China, Study Finds

The waves of plague that twice devastated Europe and changed the course of history had their origins in China, a team of medical geneticists reported"

Link

Xi apologized to FR and DE? But not to US?

Maybe that's why DJT keeps hitting them with China virus.

"@CaryGunn

We’ve developed a 15 min COVID-19 serology test, urgently need positive patient blood samples to validate. Calling for labs, researchers and positive patients in San Diego to reach out to us... "

Link

"@JTSEO9

It is ironic that NY state fought Trump's travel ban and their patient zero came from Iran"

Niiicceeee

Atomic Simulation Environment

3 months ago e-cigarettes were the topic of hot debate

Kinda creative

"@KySportsRadio

Look at the difference between how the Kentucky Governor and Tennessee Governor handled the Coronavirus"

Link

"@JaneSlavin

Literally everything you’re watching on telly at the moment is made by the self employed. If you think we’re just frivolous artists who need only £4K a year, try switching off the TV for 3 days and then get back to me. Also the books you’re reading and the games you’re playing"

"@JTSEO9

For those complaining for years that Germany should have been dumping cash into the system long before this. Germany knows when to spend money. Like any good saver, instead of doing buybacks at ATHs, they are coming into the market as a distressed investor.

'@OliverRakau

Draft law for new & scaled-up German rescue fund: €600bn of which 400bn for guarantees, 100bn for equity stakes'"

Full Report for U.S. Hydrogen Road Map Released

Link

President of Slovakia

"@shamuskhan

As 2.5M lose their jobs in the middle of a pandemic, remind me again why we binding health insurance to employment is a good idea"

"@thehill

Sen. Romney: 'I'd like to learn from those countries that were successful. Let's not follow Italy, let's follow South Korea.'"

"@GeochemOz

The #coronavirus epidemic has now already killed more people than the Ebola epidemic and it's climbing exponentially"