Week 45
This is from 2024 btw, November 7, not 2020, or 2016.
Bernie Sanders: "60% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck and we have more income and wealth inequality than ever before... real, inflation-accounted-for weekly wages for the average American worker are actually lower now than they were 50 years ago. Today, despite an explosion in technology and worker productivity, many young people will have a worse standard of living than their parents... Today, despite spending far more per capita than other countries, we remain the only wealthy nation not to guarantee healthcare to all as a human right... We, alone among major countries, cannot even guarantee paid family and medical leave.”
#Uygur #PrivateEquity
Clinton had high numbers but he was the instigator of a lot of bad policies whose effect were not visible yet. The effects of Glass-Steagal reversal would not be felt until 2008, or passage of NAFTA leading to an opiod crisis among the working class late 2020s, or the effects of 1996 Telecommunication Act screwing up the media landscape visibly at around 2010. The mismanagement of the anti trust regulator GIPSA would be witnessed clearly in meat product high prices in 2022. Obviously the giant fuck up of the Palestinian issue finally resulted in October 7 2023. Clinton is clearly the worst president of the past 60 years, his screw ups simmered, broke stuff left and right and propagated forward decades, and he set up a model, an example to follow creating characters like the Black Bill Clinton. The pro-market business-friendly environment allowed by "centrist" Democrats ran the country into the ground, and Presidential net approval numbers went down with it. Because now the entire system is messed up, the balance is gone. The right wants small government, and the supposed left? They also want small government. Halle-fu**ing-luyah. Then hurricane hits, where is government? Got no money bitch. Help yourself. Start a GoFundMe to pull that tree out of your house bedroom, or move the cow that landed on your porch.
Incumbent presidential net approval trend across administrations is down. From high positive numbers during 2000 it went down to 0, -12, -22 for 2012, 2020, 2024. If the system remains unchanged, approvals will go down further still, DJT will likely see -25 by the end of his term.
The Dem A-team (good campaigners, better closers) stayed out of this one, no one contested Harris' "coronation" because they must have felt the time was not advantegous for them. Next time Reps will have a disadvantage, and the better campaigners on the Dem side will come out of the woodwork.
The net approval of the incumbent president effects whoever runs from that same party. There were some positive changes during 2020-2024 but not enough. Much more was needed.
CNBC: "The Trump rally begins"
Al Jazeera: "It was anger that won Trump this election.. Despite obviously belonging to America’s financial super-elite, the billionaire Trump has wooed a wide sector of the domestic working class into viewing him as a saviour from their economic plight in a plutocratic system... The indignant appeal to 'Make America Great Again' deliberately ignores the fact that there was never anything great about a nation predicated on mass socioeconomic inequality, where Republicans and Democrats alike perpetuate plutocracy under the guise of democracy"
My feed is full of Nazi references, and various uses of the f-word (fascist). I've been sharing this link with the sad dumbasses.
NYT: "What’s at Stake for Mexico in a Second Trump Presidency? Tariffs, border crossings, mass deportations of migrants and military strikes on cartels: Mexico is in the firing line of the president-elect"
Less wars is great .. MAGA's staying power increases via this win, much preferable to seeing these neocon freaks meandering about like braindead zombies decades after their braindead decisions. The Cheney name was blemished, and it will stay that way through the public implosion of Liz Cheney - the candidate she and Papa Cheney had endorsed lost in a big way.
The electorate is desparate... They wildly oscillate between choices every election now. Let's not forget Trump lost to a challenger in 2020 and only won his second time as a challenger himself. For 2028 Reps, Trump's successor will likely experience the same fate. Pro business policies are not a panacea. Rates will go lower and stay low. The market already started talking about the return of the "Trump trade" which is the rise of all assets that will help the wealthy, raise inequality.
On the bright side less immigration and trade limits will be good... If the value of citizenship rises (through less foreign born) a citizen's demand from the government will be taken more seriously, it will have more weight. DJT will end up helping the left in the long term.
A tiny blue dot in the South Am, French Guiana?
Countries included in Global South.. I see TR. Geowise Oz is close but they would be North econwise (and north directionally too if we look upside down).
Voters judge the incumbent, on what he delivers. If what needs to get done ain't getting done ppl will keep voting for the opposition. Other. Other. Other. Every 4 years.
The analytics worked out well. Daily grouping of diverse polls showed clear upward trend for DJT. Time for Change regression formula predicted Rep win. It's simple stuff really, as linear regression models are. Once you identify the right parameters, get a high $R^2$ , you're good to go.
Politico: "Donald Trump.. prevailed through a 34-count felony conviction, 2 assassination attempts and bipartisan backlash to return to power"
USA Today: "A realignment among Latino voters – and a smaller shift among Black voters in key swing states− helped catapult Donald Trump to his election victory over Kamala Harris"
"In Canada, the minimum length for a campaign is 36 days, and the longest ever was 74 days (in 1926).. In Australia, the campaign must be a minimum of 33 days (the longest ever was 11 weeks in 1910).. In France, the official election campaign usually lasts no more than 2 weeks.. In Japan, campaigning is allowed for 12 days"
107 days is plenty time to make your case. Dems keep failing because they are shackled by private interests, can't deliver, can't promise anything that'll shake the status quo.
Fisk: "Barak wanted talks with the Syrians, and the same old negotiating routine was quickly re-established. The Syrians still wanted the return of all of Golan. But why wouldn’t the Syrians accept just a bit of Golan? Or Golan with the settlements? Or part of Golan plus an unknown number of Israeli troops to maintain early warning stations? The world was reminded that Syria had 'threatened' Israel from Golan before the 1967 war. But Assad called Barak an honest and 'strong' man, for he, too, did not want to be blamed for any new failures. When Clinton travelled to meet Assad when Labour was previously in power in Israel, Syria had been portrayed as the nation that rejected peace, 'the spanner in the works,' in the words of CNN’s reporter. In truth, nothing had changed. Israel wanted diplomatic relations and economic links with Damascus before any discussion of how much of Golan might be returned to Syria. Having watched Arafat writhing with this equation— only to find that having recognised Israel and compromised the very idea of statehood, Israel would decide Palestine’s future — Assad was not enamoured of the idea that this was, in Clinton’s own words, a 'golden opportunity' to make peace. It was a familiar scenario. Accept Israel’s version of peace and Syria could be overwhelmed by conditions she could not meet. Refuse, and Syria would be blamed for opposing peace and become an enemy of peace and - ergo - an enemy of the United States"
"[04/25] Biden: My Commitment to Israel Is Ironclad"
Don't get me started on voters of Arab descent.
ABC News: "Biden said that he will make clear to Zelenskyy that 'support for Ukraine is unshakeable'"
UNITY
CNN: "[09/06] Dick Cheney says he’s voting for Harris in November"
The Lever: "In the final days before the presidential election, Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state, is being inundated with ads... But the ads being blasted all over the state.. have barely mentioned health care. As The New York Times noted last month, the topic of health care reform has been virtually absent from the presidential contest"
Obamacare = Clintoncare
Citibank approved his cabinet, appointed bunch of Clintonite types in government including a Clinton. He is Black Bill Clinton. But despite all his campaigning along with BC, Reps made huge inroads with the minority vote.
Don't forget.. at the end of the day, it is all Bill Clinton's fault.
Who was the genius pollster seeing "a late surge" in Ohio for Dems? It went overwhelmingly for DJT.
It clearly was.. The jokes were lite, not a big deal. Noone gives a shit except shitlibs who are always desparate for their shit-virtue-signaling. OMG! L.G.B.T.Q.I.C.U.P.! "LatinX"!
Politico: "[11/4] 'Trump’s Gains with Pennsylvania Latinos are Real. Maybe Enough to Withstand ‘Island of Garbage.’.. The Trump campaign has made an audacious play for the fast-growing Puerto Rican and Dominican population in eastern Pennsylvania. It’s paying off"
H2 Central: "South Korea declares war on Japan with its latest engine.. The automotive industry is in the middle of a revolution, and Korea is becoming a severe player in hydrogen engine production. Hyundai and Kia have recently showcased the first hydrogen combustion engine prototype – the carmaker’s ambitious attempt to take on the Japanese, who have long dominated this emerging field"
Paper: "Ayrton’s technology could make hydrogen a.. one-to-one replacement for fossil fuels in existing infrastructure like pipelines, fuel tankers, rail cars, and trucks. The company’s approach is to use liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs) to make it easier to transport and store hydrogen... [The new] oil-based hydrogen carrier not only captures and releases hydrogen with less input energy than is required for other LOHCs, but also stores more hydrogen than methylcyclohexane can — 55 kilograms per cubic meter compared with methylcyclohexane’s 50 kg/m³"
SAF gains around Khartoum, in Al Jazirah, and Sennar, in the area previously cut off from the rest.
#SAF #RSF 10/23 - 11/05
Arab News: "Indonesia’s first joint military drills with Russia this week signal that new President Prabowo Subianto will seek a bigger role for Jakarta on the world stage as part of a significant foreign policy shift, analysts say. Indonesia has long maintained a neutral foreign policy and refuses to take sides in the Russia-Ukraine conflict or US-China rivalry, but Prabowo has called for stronger ties with Moscow despite Western pressure on Jakarta"
CE Media: "Palestine Action is securing major victories over Israel.. Companies are deciding support for genocide is not worth it... Palestine Action has scored two major victories in recent days, causing disruption to Israel's arms supply chain. The thing about capitalists is their support for genocide has nothing to do with principle, it's simply about profit. If you hurt them in the pocket, they will drop the genocide like a stone"
#Hitchens #Israel
Voter (of Arab descent): "The problem with our system is the money. We have the most corrupt political system in the world. The only difference between us and the third world is we basically legalized corruption, and we call it campaign finance laws. Before you end the occupation of Palestine, you have to end the occupation of Congress. The only way to [fix our whole system] is to get the money out of politics, get the money out of healtcare [and other sectors]"
"Hyundai Motor Reveals Bold and Efficient Hydrogen FCEV Concept"
Renewables Now: "China's electrolyser manufacturing capacity may hit 50 GW by 2030.. China leads global electrolyser manufacturing with a capacity of 15 GW at the end of 2023, making up 60% of the world’s total, according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA)"
Scams, rent-seeking are a demonstration of true free market... BTC is just a new vessel..
Adam Chalmers: "Bitcoin was supposed to demonstrate the power of a true free market. Instead it's full of scams, rent-seekers, theft, useless for real purchases and accelerates climate change. Mission accomplished"
DJT has been on a slight uptrend for a while and recently caught up w/ KH, at least looks that way from this polling summary. One analyst says there was a late surge in polling for Trump for 2016, same thing happening here? We'll see.
Biden: "[07/08] We're done talking about the debate, it's time to put Trump in a bull's-eye"
"@ben@werd.social
There’s a definite conference vibe shift now that I no longer work in tech.
Dinner conversation in tech: It wasn’t growing fast enough so we pivoted to a B2B enterprise play
Dinner conversation in journalism / law: Let me tell you about the time I was tear gassed and shot in the leg"
Fisk: "Clinton wanted to be the author of a 'peace' that he stubbornly refused to guarantee. We heard the old refrain from Clinton, that while Washington could 'bring the parties together,' it was for 'the parties themselves' to take the 'hard decisions.' Thus Israel, infinitely the more powerful of the two parties—Palestinian tanks, after all, were not occupying Tel Aviv—could act as it wished within or outside the framework of the Oslo accord. Off the record, we would be told—like the Jordanian dinner guests at the White House—of Clinton’s exasperation with Netanyahu. Publicly, he would be silent. Yet when Palestinian violence was inflicted on Israelis, Clinton was in lionlike mode, calling the killers 'yesterday’s men' in Amman, and at Wye lecturing the world on the 'hate' that would undoubtedly greet the latest success for 'peace.'
Sloppy use of language was also one of the most dangerous aspects of successive American 'peace' accords. Clinton was good on cliché and rhetoric but.. lazy when it came to points of detail. Despite all the handshakes and platitudes at Wye, for example, both Palestinians and Israelis went home with diametrically opposite ideas of what had been achieved. Netanyahu was able to assure Jewish colonists that there would be no Palestinian state, while Arafat’s men could persuade their few remaining supporters that another Israeli withdrawal would be another step towards statehood. No sooner had Netanyahu returned to Israel than his foreign minister, Ariel Sharon, urged settlers to 'seize every hilltop they can' in the West Bank. In a real battle of wits between equal partners, Arafat might have made a few Netanyahu-like conditions: no continuation of the 'peace process' unless Israel renounced its exclusive claim to Jerusalem as a capital—which precluded 'final status' talks; no more Jewish settlements on occupied Arab land; no more negotiations until Netanyahu ended Jewish settler attacks on Palestinians. But Arafat could not do that — and Washington would not talk to him if he did. So the Wye talks probably ended any Palestinian hope for a just peace. Israel would be allowed to go on building more Jewish settlements on occupied land, confiscating Palestinian identity papers, demolishing Palestinian homes. And Arafat — for perhaps 14 per cent of the 22 per cent of mandate 'Palestine' that was left — had promised to protect the Israelis who were building the settlements, confiscating the identity papers and demolishing the homes"
"Gaza: The United Nations warns that extreme Hunger threatens to engulf an entire Population"
Asia Times: "Airbus, Toshiba building the hydrogen planes of the future.. French aviation giant joining innovative forces with Japanese electronics leader to use superconducting tech in hydrogen-powered airliners"
"@rupert@mastodon.nz
It's not a #WealthTax. It's a Guillotine Avoidance Convenience Fee."
#Gardner #Ellison
"@GossiTheDog@cyberplace.social
Microsoft have recalled Recall again.
It still hasn't even made it to Insider preview yet, that's been delayed too, now in December.
Good, by the way. They should take the time to get it right. I still don't know what they were thinking when they had the CEO stand on stage and say it was launching on devices 6 months ago and would be fully secure, when they hadn't even done a basic security review of it"
H2 Central: "Jeju Island announced on October 30 that it will begin the nation’s first commercial sales of green hydrogen at the Hamdeok Green Hydrogen Station in Hamdeok-ri, Jocheon-eup, Jeju City, starting December 1. The fuel will be available for hydrogen-powered passenger cars and buses"